Although the effective altruism movement is being covered by mainstream news outlets, opinion polling about the movement is lacking.
On November 28, 2023, at 8:00am EST, I poasted polls on Manifold (https://manifold.markets/SteveSokolowski/do-you-approve-or-disapprove-of-the) and X (https://twitter.com/SteveSokolowsk2/status/1729536306923872307). The polls and the markets will close on December 1, 2023, at 8:00am EST. I will cast one vote in each poll, will not bet on either market, and will not express an opinion about the movement in any market or poll comments.
Publicity for the polls, if any, will be conducted by stating that we are conducting scientific research and the public's help is requested - and I would recommend but cannot enforce that others publicizing the polls use the same language.
The exact question text for both polls will be:
Do you approve or disapprove of the Effective Altruism movement?
There will be three answers:
Approve
Disapprove
No opinion / Never heard of the movement
This market will resolve to PROB, with the percentage equal to the percentage of Manifold users who selected the "Approve" option in the poll divided by the total of (Approve + Disapprove).
SEE ALSO: /SteveSokolowski/what-is-the-approval-rating-of-effe-a6620c7b35ed
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