What is the approval rating of effective altruism among Manifold users?
Mini
24
แน€993
resolved Dec 1
Resolved as
75%

Although the effective altruism movement is being covered by mainstream news outlets, opinion polling about the movement is lacking.

On November 28, 2023, at 8:00am EST, I poasted polls on Manifold (https://manifold.markets/SteveSokolowski/do-you-approve-or-disapprove-of-the) and X (https://twitter.com/SteveSokolowsk2/status/1729536306923872307). The polls and the markets will close on December 1, 2023, at 8:00am EST. I will cast one vote in each poll, will not bet on either market, and will not express an opinion about the movement in any market or poll comments.

Publicity for the polls, if any, will be conducted by stating that we are conducting scientific research and the public's help is requested - and I would recommend but cannot enforce that others publicizing the polls use the same language.

The exact question text for both polls will be:

Do you approve or disapprove of the Effective Altruism movement?

There will be three answers:

  • Approve

  • Disapprove

  • No opinion / Never heard of the movement

This market will resolve to PROB, with the percentage equal to the percentage of Manifold users who selected the "Approve" option in the poll divided by the total of (Approve + Disapprove).

SEE ALSO: /SteveSokolowski/what-is-the-approval-rating-of-effe-a6620c7b35ed

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RESOLUTION: At the time of market close, the vote totals were as shown in the image. The total of 61/83 (rounded) is 75%, so this market resolves to 75%.