Will there be a destructive NATURAL Earthquake or Volcano or Solar or Tsunami or Hurricane event with more than a $100 Billion in damages in the USA (No)...
Or a man-made EMP / Nuke / Malware event affecting at least an entire city's infrastructure FIRST? (Yes)
For longer than a few minutes.
None of the above resolves to No at the end of year.
Which one will happen First?
Natural event (No) or
EMP (Yes)?

• Update 2025-05-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If a man-made event affects an entire city's infrastructure:

  • It must be caused by EMP, Nuke, or Malware to resolve the market to YES.

  • If it is man-made but due to a different cause (i.e., not EMP, Nuke, or Malware), this event will not resolve the market to YES and will also not resolve it to NO. The market would continue until a qualifying Natural event, a qualifying EMP/Nuke/Malware event, or the market's end date.

• Update 2025-05-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The qualifying man-made event (EMP, Nuke, or Malware affecting an entire city's infrastructure) must occur in the USA for the market to resolve to YES.

• Update 2025-05-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - An event such as a city-wide blackout would be considered as infrastructure being affected.

  • For the market to resolve to YES due to a man-made event, the cause (EMP, Nuke, or Malware) must be verified by a reliable source.

• Update 2025-05-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on city size for man-made events resolving to YES (which must affect an entire city's infrastructure):

  • For EMP or Nuke events: a city of any size qualifies.

  • For Malware events: the affected city must have a population of 500,000 or more.

• Update 2025-05-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): An otherwise qualifying man-made event (EMP, Nuke, or Malware) will count towards a YES resolution even if it is caused by US government forces.