Where will the largest magnitude Earthquake be in 2026?
11
525Ṁ1198in 2 hours
59%
Japan
34%
Russia
33%
United States
13%
Turkiye
10%
Afghanistan
10%
Indonesia
10%
China
10%
Mexico
10%
New Zealand
10%
Sweden
10%
Ethiopia
10%
Nepal
10%
Philippines
10%
Morocco
8%
Peru
8%
Guatemala
8%
Colombia
8%
Chile
6%
Vanuatu
5%
Qatar
Last year: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_earthquakes_in_2023
This year: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_earthquakes_in_2024
If two places tie they both resolve
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Earthquake with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher before January 12th?
14% chance
Will there be a megaquake anywhere in the world by March 31st, 2026?
11% chance
Will there be an earthquake of at least 5.5 Magnitude on Cinco de Mayo 2026? (May 5)
61% chance
Will California experience an earthquake of magnitude 7.5 or greater before 2030?
24% chance
Will a large earthquake rock a major city that isn't in a tectonically active area by end 2029?
35% chance