To get an idea of how you judge previous ambiguous cases: was covid-19 man-made or natural?

@ian Doesn't really matter how I judge ambiguous cases, since I will be dead if this market resolves to anything other than N/A. That being said, I think COVID-19 is probably natural, though if I had to resolve a market based on it, I would probably wait until the evidence is more conclusive, or until a long enough period of time passed with no further evidence coming out.

What if it's AI-made?

@MartinRandall I guess that would have to count as man-made, since it certainly isn't natural, and it's a result of human invention.