Will the largest Llama 3 has > 100B ACTIVE parameters?

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resolved Aug 5

Resolved

YES

ALL

In case Llama 3 dynamically adjust the number of active parameters when running, then we resolve to the most number that still makes sense (i.e. with the best performance)

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@mods this seems resolvable assumiing 3.1 counts which I imagine it would?

https://ai.meta.com/blog/meta-llama-3/

will resolve after this comes out

bought Ṁ3,500 YES

@Sss

Dan boughtṀ60NO

https://github.com/meta-llama/llama3/blob/main/MODEL_CARD.md

@DanMan314 there is more comming

My guess would be 8x70B~=130B active param

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How many active parameters will the largest Llama 3 have?

77% chance

Will the best LLM in 2027 have <1 trillion parameters?

26% chance

Will the best LLM in 2026 have <1 trillion parameters?

40% chance

Will the best LLM in 2025 have <1 trillion parameters?

42% chance

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23% chance

Will the best LLM in 2027 have <500 billion parameters?

13% chance

Will the best LLM in 2027 have <250 billion parameters?

12% chance

Will the best LLM in 2026 have <500 billion parameters?

27% chance

Will there exist a service for full-parameter fine-tuning of Llama 3.1 405B?

31% chance

Which LLM has more parameters?

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