I have not heard from Anthropic/Claude for so long... What are they doing?

This market aims to determine if Anthropic lost its innovation and dominance over the market.

If Anthropic publish a top 3 model in one of the below area before EOY2026, then resolve to NO:

• LLM

• Vision language model

• Video Understanding

• Video Generation

• Voice understanding AND generation

• Autopilot self-driving 

• Robotics

Otherwise, resolve to YES.

If the model is just a ML stat model, then it will be compared to other stat models. (GPT4 vs Gemini Pro)

If the model is more than just a ML stat model, but a whole system that independently makes decisions, e.g. using agents framework, then it will be compared to other integrated systems. (ChatGPT 4 + code-interpreter+search vs Google bard (gemini pro))

If Anthropic got acquired, but remains functionally independent when publishing their top-3 model, I will resolve to NO. If it merged with another company, and jointly publish a top-3 model, it does not count.

So for example, if the market was about Deepmind, anything they did before 2022 will be considered done independently. After merging with Google Brain, then resolve to NO (like for publication of PALM and Gemini)