Resolves YES if overvaluation of AI related stocks is one significant cause of the next severe and prolonged economic downturn.
Resolves NO if there is never an AI "bubble pop" or if it does not impact the greater economy in a significant enough way.
Classification of a depression will be evaluated based on a majority of reputable news sources and relevant experts.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/AI_bubble
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economic_depression
Update 2025-11-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Causality determination: The creator will consult publications to determine if the AI bubble pop caused the depression. The market will remain open until the depression is over (likely at least a year) and most experts can agree on definitions and causes. The creator believes there is an extremely small likelihood of co-occurrence without sufficient causality.
1,000@ArtimisFowl I will consult publications on the matter. A depression would likely last at least a year with complex outcomes and this market would stay open until most experts say it's over and can agree on some definitions and causes. I would say there's extremely small likelihood of co-occurance without enough degree of causality.