Will the Myanmar junta relinquish power before October 2024?
7
46
150
Oct 1
35%
chance

The question resolves to yes if the Myanmar junta issues an official announcement regarding a change in government, specifying a definite date. This announcement must occur prior to October 1, 2024, even if the actual change is intended to happen after that date.

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bought Ṁ20 of NO

I made a market that covers cases where the junta is overthrown without making an official announcement.