Will the Myanmar junta relinquish power before October 2024?
13
150Ṁ1547resolved Oct 1
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
The question resolves to yes if the Myanmar junta issues an official announcement regarding a change in government, specifying a definite date. This announcement must occur prior to October 1, 2024, even if the actual change is intended to happen after that date.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ50 | |
| 2 | Ṁ25 | |
| 3 | Ṁ18 | |
| 4 | Ṁ16 | |
| 5 | Ṁ14 |
Sort by:
I made a market that covers cases where the junta is overthrown without making an official announcement.
Related questions
Related questions
Will Myanmar's junta be overthrown before 2026?
61% chance
Will Min Aung Hlaing or his military successor cease to be the leader of Myanmar before October 1st, 2025?
26% chance
Will there be a change in leadership in Myanmar before 2025?
13% chance
Will internal armed conflict in Myanmar end before 2030?
74% chance
Will China engage in offensive operations in Myanmar in 2024?
10% chance
At the end of the Myanmar Civil War, who will control a plurality of the population of Myanmar?
What will The Economist Democracy Index of Myanmar be in 2025?
Will China intervene militarily in Myanmar before 2030?
26% chance
Will US troops withdraw from Iraq in 2024?
12% chance