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Will the Myanmar junta have conducted airstrikes on Kachin rare earth mining sites by June 30, 2027?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ2
2027
12%
chance

This market resolves YES if, by June 30, 2027, Myanmar's military junta has conducted confirmed airstrikes targeting rare earth mining infrastructure in Kachin State.

YES if by June 30, 2027:

  • Credible reporting confirms junta aerial bombardment of RE mining sites, processing facilities, or RE-specific transport infrastructure in Chipwi/Pangwa/Momeik

NO if:

  • No confirmed airstrikes on RE mining sites by June 30, 2027

  • Airstrikes occurred near but not targeting mining operations

Resolution sources (priority order):

  1. The Irrawaddy (irrawaddy.com)

  2. Kachin News (kachinnews.com)

  3. Myanmar Now (myanmar-now.org)

  4. Stimson Center monitoring

  5. Satellite imagery

Market context
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