This market resolves YES if, by June 30, 2027, Myanmar's military junta has conducted confirmed airstrikes targeting rare earth mining infrastructure in Kachin State.

YES if by June 30, 2027:

• Credible reporting confirms junta aerial bombardment of RE mining sites, processing facilities, or RE-specific transport infrastructure in Chipwi/Pangwa/Momeik

NO if:

• No confirmed airstrikes on RE mining sites by June 30, 2027

• Airstrikes occurred near but not targeting mining operations

Resolution sources (priority order):

1. The Irrawaddy (irrawaddy.com)

2. Kachin News (kachinnews.com)

3. Myanmar Now (myanmar-now.org)

4. Stimson Center monitoring

5. Satellite imagery