Which companies will achieve a higher ELO rating than OpenAI on ChatBot Arena in 2025? ( >= week)
Standard
5
Ṁ630
2025
68%
Google
64%
Antropic
54%
Meta
50%
Mistral
50%
Other
32%
DeepSeek
22%
xAI
22%
NexusFlow
18%
Alibaba

For any company to resolve YES, they must achieve a higher ELO rating than OpenAI’s best model on the leaderboards https://lmarena.ai/.

see https://manifold.markets/Soli/which-companies-will-achieve-a-high?play=true for 2024

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