Will a company other than OpenAI, xAI, and Google top the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2025?
47
1kṀ4765Dec 31
25%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard
Topping means having the highest Arena Score at any point in time this year.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Which company has best AI model end of July? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard)
Which company has best AI model end of August? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard)
Which company has best AI model end of July? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard)
Will OpenAI top the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on December 31, 2025?
30% chance
Which Companies will top Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2025?
Which Companies will top Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2028?
Which companies will achieve a higher ELO rating than OpenAI on ChatBot Arena in 2025? ( >= week)
Which Companies will top Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2027?
Which Companies will top Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2026?
Will a chatbot from a Chinese company top the LMSYS leaderboard in 2025?
29% chance