How will the average global temperature in 2024 compare to 2023? (as reported by NASA)
45
1.3kṀ7829resolved Jan 10
100%85%
0.1-0.5 C warmer
0.4%
More than 0.5 C colder
1.3%
0.1-0.5 C colder
12%
~0 C About the same
0.7%
More than 0.5 C warmer
The option that most closely matches the actual difference in average global temperatures between 2023 and 2024, as reported by Nasa (gistemp), will be the winning bet. The market closes on December 31, 2024, and resolves when the annual global temperature data for 2024 is publicly available.
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