Will any submitted paper for ICLR 2024 be a "game changer" by 2030?
1
50Ṁ102030
41%
chance
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Based on this opinion of Yi Tay:
https://twitter.com/agihippo/status/1713435934279217183?t=LIYX_QPETF-y9_IYP3oGLg&s=19
Resolution will be thus:
Supposed game changing papers will be presented in the comments below
Evidence supporting their having changed the game will be provided in replies to the comment
Candidate submissions for this meta-ICLR 2024 survey will each receive a poll asking if they were "game changers"
If any poll passes with 66% and there is no credible suggestion of vote manipulation, resolves YES. Otherwise, NO.
ICLR 2024 submissions can be found here:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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