What will be true of Grok-1.5?
34
1kṀ6478resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NOA tweet demonstrating it doing something offensive gets 30k+ likes by the end of April
Resolved
NOReleased for X Premium users by the end of April
Resolved
N/A>1 trillion parameters
Resolved
YESElon Musk tweets about it by the end of March
Resolved
YESMultimodal (image, audio, or video)
Resolved
NOReleased for X Premium users by the end of March
Resolved
NOModel weights will be publically released by the end of 2024
Resolved
NO> GPT4-0613 (currently 1160) on lmsys arena leaderboard
Resolved
NOReleased for X Premium users by the end of June
Add new responses!
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ41 | |
| 2 | Ṁ37 | |
| 3 | Ṁ27 | |
| 4 | Ṁ26 | |
| 5 | Ṁ18 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Grok 4 achieve over 69% on SimpleBench
17% chance
Will the next major Grok release be called Grok 3.5?
1% chance
Will xAI release grok 4.20 ?
25% chance
GPT-5 vs Grok-2+: who will be funnier?
When will xAI release Grok 4 (or Grok 3.5)
8/16/25
When will xAI release Grok 4?
Grok 4 before 2026?
99% chance
When will xAI release grok 3 Thinking (NOT "Beta")?
7/14/25