What will be true about Grokipedia upon release?
47
1.3kṀ2254
2030
90%
Released in 2025
94%
Contains egregious, easily verified falsehoods
67%
Articles written in 10+ languages
39%
Contains advertisements
96%
Contains AI-generated articles
17%
Released in 2026
94%
Accessible without login
76%
Will actually be called "Grokipedia"
11%
Not released before 2030
66%
left-wingers perceive that it is biased against them
65%
Users will only be able to edit by prompting AI for changes
33%
Anyone can edit
56%
Has an entry for Manifold Markets
80%
Contains a "Wikipedia" article
35%
right-wingers perceive that it is biased against them
15%
States that the death toll of the (Jewish) Holocaust was <3 million
81%
Has 10,000+ articles
27%
Manifold likes it, according to a poll
83%
Standalone website (not just a Twitter/X feature)
53%
No entry for Mechahitler

After years of criticizing Wikipedia for what he perceives as left-wing bias, Elon Musk announced the development of "Grokipedia", which he believes will be a "massive improvement" over the existing site.

How do you think this will turn out? Add your own predictions!

Note: "release" means when it is officially released and available to the general public, not beta or early-access.

  • Update 2025-10-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): V0.1 release on Monday will NOT resolve this market as it is considered beta. The market will only resolve when Grokipedia is officially released and available to the general public (not beta or early-access).

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bought Ṁ1 YES

What a stupid idea Gr…ia is, I don't even want to write the whole word.

reposted

Musk says V0.1 will release on Monday. It won't resolve this market (because it's beta) but it should give an idea of what's to come.

bought Ṁ2 YES

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bought Ṁ4 NO

@ItsMe I understand this to mean there are 10 distinct LLM models in different language data sets in different languages creating the articles.

@JussiVilleHeiskanen that's one possibility. If there are user-made articles in various languages then that would also count.

reposted

Subsidized!

@ItsMe I'll put some in as well...

bought Ṁ10 YES

The name still doesn't feel real to me. Grokipedia... ugh.

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