What will be true about Grokipedia upon release?

1.3kṀ2254

2030

90%

Released in 2025

94%

Contains egregious, easily verified falsehoods

67%

Articles written in 10+ languages

39%

Contains advertisements

96%

Contains AI-generated articles

17%

Released in 2026

94%

Accessible without login

76%

Will actually be called "Grokipedia"

11%

Not released before 2030

66%

left-wingers perceive that it is biased against them

65%

Users will only be able to edit by prompting AI for changes

33%

Anyone can edit

56%

Has an entry for Manifold Markets

80%

Contains a "Wikipedia" article

35%

right-wingers perceive that it is biased against them

15%

States that the death toll of the (Jewish) Holocaust was <3 million

81%

Has 10,000+ articles

27%

Manifold likes it, according to a poll

83%

Standalone website (not just a Twitter/X feature)

53%

No entry for Mechahitler

After years of criticizing Wikipedia for what he perceives as left-wing bias, Elon Musk announced the development of "Grokipedia", which he believes will be a "massive improvement" over the existing site.

How do you think this will turn out? Add your own predictions!

Note: "release" means when it is officially released and available to the general public, not beta or early-access.

Update 2025-10-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): V0.1 release on Monday will NOT resolve this market as it is considered beta. The market will only resolve when Grokipedia is officially released and available to the general public (not beta or early-access).

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