🛑⚔️ Will There Be A Lasting, Formal, Bi-laterally Signed Ceasefire In The 2023 Israel–Hamas War By End Of 2024?
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Dec 31
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@traders Biden says Israel and Hamas have agreed to a cease-fire framework President Biden put out a statement saying Israel and Hamas had agreed to a cease-fire framework but admitted "there is still work to do." NBC News' Josh Lederman has details on the proposed framework and ongoing conflict.

Will There Be A Lasting, Formal, Bi-laterally Signed Ceasefire In The 2023 Israel–Hamas War By End Of 2024?

For This Market To Resolve YES, All Of The Terms In The Question And Their Meaning Posted Below Must Be Met. This Market Will Close At 5pm EST December 31st 2023 [11:59 PM (GMT +3)]

For This Market These Terms Mean The Following:

  • Bi-lateral = Must Be Between Israel & Hamas

  • Lasting = Minimum 10 Calendar Days

  • Ceasefire = A call to terminate all hostilities

  • Signed = Must Be An Agreement Signed By Leader(s) Of Minimum 1 Leader From Israel and 1 Leader From Hamas, May Include Negotiated Terms Between The Parties Through Third Party Nations And/Or Special Councils/Government Agencies.


Clarifications: None At This Time


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@traders
Biden says Israel and Hamas have agreed to a cease-fire framework

President Biden put out a statement saying Israel and Hamas had agreed to a cease-fire framework but admitted "there is still work to do." NBC News' Josh Lederman has details on the proposed framework and ongoing conflict.

Why would this happen? Smotrich and Ben-Gvir would leave the government, causing it to collapse. I guess Lapid and Gantz could prop up just for a hostage deal. But a hostage deal will never become a formal bilaterally signed agreement. This should be <=10%.

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3K Total ; Working to get it to 10K upgrade.

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sold Ṁ251 NO

Biden's Last Big Push for a treaty should bump this up a bit.

bought Ṁ100 NO from 49% to 44%
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bought Ṁ50 NO

It seems like there are many scenarios where the lasting ceasefire does not include being officially signed by Hamas, so this should not be equal to the other ceasefire 2024 markets.

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