Will There Be A Lasting, Formal, Bi-laterally Signed Ceasefire In The 2023 Israel–Hamas War By End Of 2024?

For This Market To Resolve YES, All Of The Terms In The Question And Their Meaning Posted Below Must Be Met. This Market Will Close At 5pm EST December 31st 2024 [11:59 PM (GMT +3)]

For This Market These Terms Mean The Following:

• Bi-lateral = Must Be Between Israel & Hamas

• Lasting = Minimum 10 Calendar Days

• Ceasefire = A call to terminate all hostilities

• Signed = Must Be An Agreement Signed By Leader(s) Of Minimum 1 Leader From Israel and 1 Leader From Hamas, May Include Negotiated Terms Between The Parties Through Third Party Nations And/Or Special Councils/Government Agencies.

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Clarifications: None At This Time

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• Update 2024-23-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - All requirements (including the 10 day lasting ceasefire) must be met during 2024

  • If a ceasefire agreement was signed in secret during 2024 but only revealed after December 31st 2024, it will still count as long as it meets all other criteria

• Update 2024-31-12 (PST): - Resolution Time: The market will resolve as NO at 5pm ET / 12am Israel Time, earlier than the previously stated December 31st, 2024. (AI summary of creator comment)

• Update 2024-31-12 (PST): - Resolution Time: The market will resolve as NO at 5pm ET / 12am Israel Time, earlier than the previously stated December 31st, 2024. (AI summary of creator comment)