By the year 2100, will humanity have developed a simulation of the universe detailed enough to facilitate the understanding of consciousness emergence?

This market invites participants to place their bets on the probability of achieving a monumental feat in computational and cognitive science.

The question at hand is not merely about simulating galaxies or ecosystems but creating a virtual cosmos where conditions are ripe for the natural emergence of consciousness.

Outcome Criteria: The market will resolve positively if, by December 31, 2100, there is verifiable evidence of a simulation designed and recognized by the scientific community as capable of detailed universe emulation with conditions conducive to the natural emergence of consciousness. Verification can come from peer-reviewed scientific publications, official statements by leading global scientific organizations, or demonstrable, publicly accessible evidence of the simulation's operation and objectives.