Will a human brain be uploaded by 2100? | Manifold

Will a human brain be uploaded by 2100?

51

Ṁ1kṀ4.5k

2100

66%

chance

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6H

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1W

1M

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Uploading: scanning the structure of a brain in sufficient resolution and using it as input to a simulation which results in consciousness similar to the original brain.

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I made a similar market with the intention on being more in-depth that works in 3 year intervals. https://manifold.markets/ThePhilosopher/will-uploaded-intelligence-human-br?r=VGhlUGhpbG9zb3BoZXI

Define similar.

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@capybara refer to the dictionary

Human whole brain emulation before 2100?

53% chance. This market resolves Yes if, by the beginning of 2100, at least 1 person has used whole brain emulation (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mind_uploading) successfully (defined arbitrarily by >75% consensus of philosophers of mind that psychological continuity and identity is preserved).

Sorry for the replicate

People are also trading

Will AI surpass human intellect by 2030?

Conditional on no AGI, will a human brain be uploaded before 2053?

Before what year will a human brain (mind) be successfully uploaded into a computer?

Conditional on uploading tech, will cryopreserved brains also be uploaded by 2100?

Will CGPGrey upload their brain into a computer before 2040?

Real-time whole human brain emulation runs before end of 2038 (not necessarily an 'upload' of a specific human).

Will a neural network merge with a human brain before 2050?

Will I receive a brain transplant by the end of 2040?

Related questions

Will AI surpass human intellect by 2030?

Conditional on no AGI, will a human brain be uploaded before 2053?

Before what year will a human brain (mind) be successfully uploaded into a computer?

Conditional on uploading tech, will cryopreserved brains also be uploaded by 2100?

Will CGPGrey upload their brain into a computer before 2040?

Real-time whole human brain emulation runs before end of 2038 (not necessarily an 'upload' of a specific human).

Will a neural network merge with a human brain before 2050?

Will I receive a brain transplant by the end of 2040?

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