I created a market some time ago, where I showed some projections on the growth of solar panel installations.
Assuming that the global solar panel installations will grow at a compound 50% rate, we'll install over 8713 GW in 2030. At the time of writing, it seems that most users disagree with this bull scenario.
However, China alone installed 217 GW of solar n 2023, shattered its previous record of 87.4 GW from 2022, and it installed more panels than the solar capacity of the U.S. throughout their whole history (175.2 GW).
My assumption is that China by itself has the capability to overachieve the global bull target, and that indeed it will.
Let's bet on this :)
Update 2025-06-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Based on a comment from the creator, this market will resolve based on the total cumulative installed solar capacity in China by the end of 2030, not the amount installed solely within that year.
The market will resolve to YES if China's total cumulative solar capacity is greater than 8713 GW at the end of 2030.
1,000