Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
How much solar power will the world install in 2025?
22
Ṁ1kṀ14k
resolved Apr 11
100%94%
628 to 750 GW
4%
<= 627 GW
1.0%
751 to 900 GW
1.0%
>900 GW

Jenny Chase from Bloomberg New Energy Finance (BNEF) projected (in Feb 2024) that 627 gigawatts (GW) of solar will be installed worldwide in 2025. How much will actually be installed?

BNEF will be the data source for consistency; if it's not available I'll use a credible source that closely aligns with the historical data below (e.g. 444 GW in 2023, 252 GW in 2022).

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ625
2Ṁ246
3Ṁ244
4Ṁ72
5Ṁ58
Sort by:

This is technically a forecast from a report written up by Bloomberg news in December. But not sure what the relevant publication schedule is for the first non-forecast number for 2025 solar. I don't think it's going to move outside the second bucket. I will resolve and un-resolve if they publish a substantially different number for 2025.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-12-16/global-solar-additions-to-fall-for-first-time-in-2026-says-bnef

"647 GW of solar capacity was added globally in 2025"
https://ember-energy.org/latest-updates/world-adds-a-record-breaking-814-gw-of-solar-and-wind-in-2025/

Not the right source but suggestive?

bought Ṁ250 YES

Their latest projection for 2025 is 655, down from the earlier projection of 700. So it seems unlikely to be >700 and very unlikely to be >750