Will a smart agent pass our Turing test by the end of 2025?
42
1kṀ1267
2026
56%
chance
  • The Turing test is going to be held as a WhatsApp conversation (or a similar massaging app)

  • 9 people will join with their WhatsApp account + one smart agent using the account of another person

  • The players will discuss together, (and differently than the YouTube video below) they are allowed to ask questions to each other in order to figure out who is AI

  • The smart agent will pretend to be human and interact with the others

  • Every 3 minutes, players have a poll. One person gets voted out

  • If the AI survives for 5 rounds, it has passed the test

  • The test can be repeated various times by the end of 2025 with different agent models

  • If you want to join the Turing test write it in the comments and PM me if you can give access to your WhatsApp to a smart agent, once it's released (we need 9 people+1 smart agent)

If the AI passes the test at least once before 2025, this market is true.

If the AI doesn't pass the test, or there is no suitable technology to automate it, it will be false.

The market is inspired by this YouTube video that I just found:

https://youtu.be/bKPP20rvp3s?si=Esvct6iWgObNoit3

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