Will there be a by-election in Blackpool South (Scott Benton’s seat) before the next general election?
20
350Ṁ7574
resolved May 2
Resolved
YES

Blackpool South MP Scott Benton has been found to have broken lobbying rules and the standards watchdog has recommended a 35-day suspension:

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2023/dec/14/blackpool-mp-scott-benton-faces-commons-suspension-over-lobbying-scandal

This could lead to a by-election in a the very interesting “red wall” seat of Blackpool South.

Will a by-election take place before the next general election?

  • If a by-election takes place, the market will resolve to YES

  • If Parliament is dissolved for a general election before any by-election is announced, the market will resolve to NO

  • If a by-election is announced but cancelled because Parliament has been dissolved for a general election, this market resolves to NO

Related market:

/SimonGrayson/uk-general-election-which-month-in-6ab8406103dd

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