Following three weeks of speculation, Lee Anderson has today defected to Reform UK, giving them their first MP - /SimonGrayson/will-lee-anderson-join-reform-uk
At their joint press conference this morning, Richard Tice (Reform's party leader) has said that he expects more Tory MPs to defect before the next election.
Will MPs from the Conservative Party or any other MPs defect to Reform before Parliament is dissolved for a general election?
If any MP defects so that they are sitting as a Reform UK MP, this market will resolve to YES.
If any MP resigns their seat or is removed in some other way and registers as the Reform UK candidate for a by-election, this market will resolve to YES
If a sitting MP announces that they will be standing in the next General Election as a Reform UK candidate, this market resolves to YES
If Parliament is dissolved before any of the above happen, the market will resolve to NO
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ728 | |
| 2 | Ṁ255 | |
| 3 | Ṁ103 | |
| 4 | Ṁ74 | |
| 5 | Ṁ73 |
Parliament has been dissolved without another Reform defection so this resolves to NO.
For more Reform opportunism and Tory chaos, take a look at these markets…
/SimonGrayson/uk-general-election-2024-will-refor
/SimonGrayson/will-reform-uk-poll-at-20-or-above
/SimonGrayson/uk-general-election-which-party-wil-35d0bc6a20f9
/SimonGrayson/will-the-conservative-party-win-few
/SimonGrayson/uk-general-election-2024-how-many-s-qzm55nj4xt
MP suspended after endorsing Reform UK candidate https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c0kkzv12wndo
Lucy Allan has come close!