Over the weekend, Lee Anderson had the Conservative whip removed for his absolutely vile comments about Sadiq Khan:

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2024/feb/24/lee-anderson-stripped-of-tory-whip-over-sadiq-khan-comment

There is lots of speculation that he will defect to Reform UK.

Will he do so before Parliament is dissolved?

Resolution notes:

• If Anderson defects so that he is sitting as a Reform UK MP, this market will resolve to YES.

• If Anderson resigns his seat or is removed in some other way and registers as the Reform UK candidate for a by-election, this market will resolve to YES

• If Anderson announces that he will be standing in the next General Election as a Reform UK candidate, this market resolves to YES

• If Parliament is dissolved and Anderson has not done any of the above things, the market will resolve to NO.

• If Anderson is affiliated with Reform but is not sitting as a Reform UK MP or running for Parliament as a Reform candidate, that's not enough to meet the threshold for this market