As a reaction to recent chagnes made by Reddit, a large number of subreddits "went dark" by either going entirely private or by going read-only and stopping people from posting new content.
Almost 9,000 subreddits went dark on 12th June and we've slowly been seeing some of them return over the past two weeks, either because they wanted to bring their subreddit back or becuase Reddit's admins threatened to kick out their moderators if they didn't come back online.
This market will use the data at https://reddark.untone.uk/ as the resolution criterea. They are currently stating that "2562/8829 subreddits are currently dark" - 31.3%. If this figure ticks below 25%, the market resolves to YES.
The deadline is Wednesday at 22:00 UK time (the closing time of the market).
Previous markets tracking the progress:
/MP/will-the-subreddits-return-by-frida
/MP/will-subreddits-return-by-monday
/SimonGrayson/will-75-of-the-gone-dark-subreddits
/SimonGrayson/will-75-of-the-gone-dark-subreddits-3baa7207de33
(With thanks to @MP who came up with the idea and created the first two markets here)
Resolution notes:
If the main Reddark site is down or unavailable, we will use https://reddark.io/ as a backup. If both are unavailable, I will attempt to resolve to the spirt of the market (eg. resolving YES if the sites are taken down because the protest is over and everything is reopened, resolving NO if it is very clear that those sites would show that the subreddits are still dark if they were available) or N/A if it's not possible to do so.
1,000๐ Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | แน81 | |
| 2 | แน56 | |
| 3 | แน50 | |
| 4 | แน47 | |
| 5 | แน35 |
People are also trading
One reason might have been the recognition of the new protest method oliver?
Wait nvm. Oliver and archived are counted as public.
-2.88 / hour in last 23 hours. 2346.48 (26.576962%) expected on Wednesday.
Link, BST (UTC+1)
6/20 00:50โ3460 / 8829โ39.19%
6/20 02:45โ3440 / 8829โ38.96%โ-10.4347826 / hour
6/20 09:50โ3412 / 8829โ38.65%โ-3.952941 / hour
6/20 16:45โ3360 / 8829โ38.06%โ-7.518 / hour
6/20 19:20โ3315 / 8829โ37.55%โ-17.4193548387 / hour
6/20 21:10โ3289 / 8829โ37.25%โ-14.181818 / hour
6/21 01:50โ3222 / 8829โ36.49%โ-14.3571428571428 / hour
6/21 08:30โ3138 / 8829โ35.54%โ-12.6 / hour
6/21 20:30โ2939 / 8829โ33.29%โ-16.58333 / hour
6/22 00:30โ2859 / 8829โ32.38%โ-20 / hour
6/22 03:15โ2805 / 8829โ31.77%โ-19.6363636363636 / hour
6/22 07:15โ2761 / 8829โ31.27%โ-11 / hour
6/22 12:15โ2723 / 8829โ30.84%โ-7.6 / hour
6/22 17:15โ2684 / 8829โ30.4%โ-7.8 / hour
6/22 21:00โ2638 / 8829โ29.88%โ-12.2666 / hour
6/22 22:00โ2644 / 8829โ29.95%โ+6 / hour
6/23 06:50โ2590 / 8829โ29.34%โ-6.1132 / hour
6/23 10:15โ2582 / 8829โ29.24%โ-2.3414634146 / hour
6/23 15:40โ2578 / 8829โ29.2%โ-0.7384615384615 / hour
6/23 19:50โ2562 / 8829โ29.02%โ-3.84 / hour
6/23 22:00โ2559 / 8829โ28.98%โ-1.38461538461538 / hour
6/24 04:45โ2533 / 8829โ28.69%โ-3.851851 / hour
6/24 10:45โ2525 / 8829โ28.6%โ-1.333 / hour
6/25 03:35โ2490 / 8829โ28.2%โ-2.0792 / hour
6/25 11:50โ2484 / 8829โ28.13%โ-0.727272 / hour
6/26 08:05โ2434 / 8829โ27.57%โ-2.4691358 / hour
6/26 23:00โ2402 / 8829โ27.21%โ-2.14525 / hour
6/27 21:10โ2418 / 8829โ27.39%โ+0.7218 / hour
6/28 09:40โ2366 / 8829โ26.8%โ-4.16 / hour
6/28 12:10โ2353 / 8829โ26.65%โ-5.2 / hour
6/28 20:05โ2352 / 8829โ26.6%โ-0.1263 / hour
At the time of market creation there are 2,652 subreddits still dark. This needs to drop to 2,207 for the market to resolve to YES - so 355 to go.
Over the past 24 hours the pace at which subs are reopening has absolutely fallen through the floor. We were seeing figures of around 10-20 per hour earlier in the week but the average over the past 24 hours has been just 4 per hour.
So I've set the closing time for this market five days away - at this point the question is how much more proactive Reddit are going to be in terms of forcing subreddits to open up against the moderators' will!