As a reaction to recent chagnes made by Reddit, a large number of subreddits "went dark" by either going entirely private or by going read-only and stopping people from posting new content.
Almost 9,000 subreddits went dark on 12th June and we've slowly been seeing some of them return over the past 8 days, either because they wanted to bring their subreddit back or becuase Reddit's admins threatened to kick out their moderators if they didn't come back online.
This market will use the data at https://reddark.untone.uk/ as the resolution criterea. They are currently stating that "2763/8829 subreddits are currently dark" - 31.3%. If this figure ticks below 25%, the market resolves to YES.
The deadline is Friday at 22:00 UK time (the closing time of the market).
Previous markets tracking the progress:
/MP/will-the-subreddits-return-by-frida
/MP/will-subreddits-return-by-monday
/SimonGrayson/will-75-of-the-gone-dark-subreddits
(With thanks to @MP who came up with the idea and created the first two markets here)
The next iteration of the market (now with a longer deadline since things seem to be slowing down):
Resolution notes:
If the main Reddark site is down or unavailable, we will use https://reddark.io/ as a backup. If both are unavailable, I will attempt to resolve to the spirt of the market (eg. resolving YES if the sites are taken down because the protest is over and everything is reopened, resolving NO if it is very clear that those sites would show that the subreddits are still dark if they were available) or N/A if it's not possible to do so.
Related questions
๐ Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | แน146 | |
| 2 | แน123 | |
| 3 | แน58 | |
| 4 | แน58 | |
| 5 | แน56 |
Tangential, but does anyone know how to add in-line market links to a description? i.e the Will the subreddits return by friday? NO โline under "Previous markets tracking the progress"
@NoyaV If you type a percentage sign, you'll see a dropdown of markets. You can start typing the market name and then select the market from the dropdown.
It's a slightly odd interface because it does a search for relevant markets rather than matching the name exactly - so to include that one I started typing "reddit dark" rather than the actual name of the market!
I really like it when the markets are still open because it shows a live percentage rather than just the result for closed markets!
Link, BST (UTC+1)
*โ Omitted. The next per hour change is from the count before *.
6/20 00:50โ3460 / 8829โ39.19%
6/20 02:45โ3440 / 8829โ38.96%โ-10.4347826 / hour
6/20 03:05โ3435 / 8829โ38.91%โ*
6/20 03:25โ3432 / 8829โ38.87%โ*
6/20 09:50โ3412 / 8829โ38.65%โ-3.952941 / hour
6/20 16:45โ3360 / 8829โ38.06%โ-7.518 / hour
6/20 19:20โ3315 / 8829โ37.55%โ-17.4193548387 / hour
6/20 21:10โ3289 / 8829โ37.25%โ-14.181818 / hour
6/21 01:50โ3222 / 8829โ36.49%โ-14.3571428571428 / hour
6/21 08:30โ3138 / 8829โ35.54%โ-12.6 / hour
6/21 20:30โ2939 / 8829โ33.29%โ-16.58333 / hour
6/22 00:30โ2859 / 8829โ32.38%โ-20 / hour
6/22 03:15โ2805 / 8829โ31.77%โ-19.6363636363636 / hour
6/22 07:15โ2761 / 8829โ31.27%โ-11 / hour
6/22 12:15โ2723 / 8829โ30.84%โ-7.6 / hour
6/22 17:15โ2684 / 8829โ30.4%โ-7.8 / hour
6/22 21:00โ2638 / 8829โ29.88%โ-12.2666 / hour
6/22 22:00โ2644 / 8829โ29.95%โ+6 / hour
6/23 06:50โ2590 / 8829โ29.34%โ-6.1132 / hour
6/23 10:15โ2582 / 8829โ29.24%โ-2.3414634146 / hour
6/23 15:40โ2578 / 8829โ29.2%โ-0.7384615384615 / hour
6/23 19:50โ2562 / 8829โ29.02%โ-3.84 / hour
6/23 22:00โ2559 / 8829โ28.98%โ-1.38461538461538 / hour
19:50
-9.868131868131 / hour on average. 2540.619047619047 (28.775842%) expected.
-4.58934169278997 / hour in last 26.5 hours. 2552 (28.9%) expected.