Will subreddits return by Monday?
76
502
1.6K
resolved Jun 20
Resolved
NO

This website tracks the reddits that went dark. Right now 4735 subreddits are dark while 8829 subreddits went dark at any time.

https://reddark.untone.uk/

This market will resolve to YES if by the end of Monday (GMT-03, São Paulo time), 75% of the subreddits are back. This means that the smaller number divided by the bigger must be smaller than 25%.

I won't bet on this market.

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predicted NO

@MP Since you haven't created a followup market, I hope you don't mind that I've created one here using your same source for resolution?

I've got invested in this question now, so I wanted to keep it going with a deadline which looks pretty realistic (it should be pretty close to 25% at the close of this market if subreddits keep opening at the same rate as the past few days)

@SimonGrayson that's fine. I didnt create because I think they won't

bought Ṁ921 of NO

ADT (UTC-3)

6/19 20:50 3460 / 8829 39.19%

6/19 22:45 3440 / 8829 38.96%

6/19 23:05 3435 / 8829 38.91%

6/19 23:25 3432 / 8829 38.87%

bought Ṁ3,372 of NO

3429/8829 subreddits are currently dark.

38.84%

predicted YES

The slow blade penetrates the shield. Currently at 3473/8829, need that miracle Power-Mod to go rogue and open all they can.

How are you counting "restricted" subreddits, where historical posts can be viewed but no new posts?

@Shelvacu The resolution criteria is the numbers shown by the website