Will 75% of the "gone dark" subreddits return by Monday 3rd July
69
1.4kṀ32k
resolved Jul 3
Resolved
YES

It's now been over two weeks since almost 9,000 subreddits went dark on 12th June.

We've had markets up on how long it will take 75% to come back up, but the number coming back seems to keep slowing and slowing...

This market will use the data at https://reddark.untone.uk/ as the resolution criterea. They are currently stating that "2330/8829 subreddits are currently dark" - 26.4%. If this figure ticks below 25%, the market resolves to YES.

The deadline is Monday at 21:00 UK time (the closing time of the market). Since we're now pretty close to 25%, it shouldn't take too much of a push to get over the line but if a subreddit still hasn't come back by now then we have to wonder whether they're ever going to come back willingly!

Previous markets tracking the progress:

/MP/will-the-subreddits-return-by-frida

/MP/will-subreddits-return-by-monday

/SimonGrayson/will-75-of-the-gone-dark-subreddits

/SimonGrayson/will-75-of-the-gone-dark-subreddits-3baa7207de33

/SimonGrayson/will-75-of-the-gone-dark-subreddits-1355726bd833

(With thanks to @MP who came up with the idea and created the first two markets here)

Resolution notes:

  • If the main Reddark site is down or unavailable, we will use https://reddark.io/ as a backup. If both are unavailable, I will attempt to resolve to the spirt of the market (eg. resolving YES if the sites are taken down because the protest is over and everything is reopened, resolving NO if it is very clear that those sites would show that the subreddits are still dark if they were available) or N/A if it's not possible to do so.

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