UK General Election 2024 - How many TV debates will there be between Sunak and Starmer?
36
2kṀ19k
resolved Jul 4
100%97%
2
0.2%
0
0.3%
1
1.2%
3
0.5%
4
0.4%
5
0.3%
6
0.3%Other

The starting gun has been fired - we will be having a general election on 4th July!

Debates had been suggested since the 1960s but leaders like Wilson, Thatcher, Major and Blair either refused to debate or were unable to agree on terms with their challengers.

The first televised debates were held in 2010, but they somehow seem like an inevitable fixture of British politics already. The market gives an 80% chance of at least one debate during this cycle:

/NoitUK/will-there-be-a-televised-debate-be

The Tories have called for six televised debates:

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/05/23/tories-keir-starmer-record-six-tv-debates-general-election/

Is this suicide with such an untelegenic leader? Is it a desperate last throw of the dice? Is it an attempt to lay down an absurdly unrealistic challenge so that they can taunt Starmer if he says no?

How many debates will there be?

The definition of a debate is taken from @NoitUK‘s market:

  • Both leaders appearing in the same broadcast.

  • Direct interaction between leaders, i.e. they are permitted to respond to each other’s statements directly.

  • Equal representation, I.e. both leaders are allowed to speak for approximately the same time.

  • A moderator to provide questions and enforce the rules of the debate.

  • Broadcast on one of the main free to air UK TV channels.

If other party leaders are also present, that will still be fine so long as the above criteria are met!

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ470
2Ṁ357
3Ṁ234
4Ṁ197
5Ṁ89
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy