The first round of voting has taken place and Priti Patel is out of the contest.
There are five remaining candidates in the running to the next leader of the Conservative Party.
The remaining steps of the contest are planned to be:
MPs will vote in multiple rounds. In each round, the candidate with the least votes is eliminated (candidates who were close to losing quite often drop out at this point as well) and the others go through to the next round of voting
If there are more than four nominees, MPs will vote on candidates to whittle them down to the final four in time for Conservative Party conference
The final four candidates will give their pitch at the conference (29th Sep to 2nd Oct)
MPs will continue voting to get down to the final two candidates
The Conservative Party membership will vote on the final two candidates
The new leader will be announced on 2nd November
The next vote among MPs is expected next week. Who will be the next candidate to be eliminated?
If one of the five remaining candidates withdraws or is expelled before the next vote, the market will resolve to that candidate
If the next vote is between the five candidates listed, the market will resolve to the candidate who gets the fewest votes and is eliminated
If the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated and another candidate drops out at the same time (eg. because they got almost as few votes and know that they can't win), the market will only resolve to the candidate who got the fewest votes
The intention is to resolve to one candidate, but if it is impossible to separate two eliminated candidates (eg. two candidates make a joint announcement that they are withdrawing or two candidates tie for the fewest votes and both withdraw rather than drawing lots), the market will resolve 50/50 to those candidates.
Related markets:
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As traders on this market suspected, Mel Stride is gone!
He didn’t get any more votes than he got in the first round, so he is eliminated.