Conservative Party leadership contest - which candidate will get the most votes in the second round of voting?
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23
Ṁ8757
resolved Sep 11
100%99.0%
Robert Jenrick
0.2%
Mel Stride
0.2%
Tom Tugendhat
0.2%
James Cleverly
0.4%
Kemi Badenoch

The first round of voting has taken place and Priti Patel is out of the contest.

There are five remaining candidates in the running to the next leader of the Conservative Party.

The remaining steps of the contest are planned to be:

  • MPs will vote in multiple rounds. In each round, the candidate with the least votes is eliminated (candidates who were close to losing quite often drop out at this point as well) and the others go through to the next round of voting

  • If there are more than four nominees, MPs will vote on candidates to whittle them down to the final four in time for Conservative Party conference

  • The final four candidates will give their pitch at the conference (29th Sep to 2nd Oct)

  • MPs will continue voting to get down to the final two candidates

  • The Conservative Party membership will vote on the final two candidates

  • The new leader will be announced on 2nd November

The next vote among MPs is expected next week. Who will get the most votes in the second round?

(If two candidates are tied, the market will resolve 50/50)

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@traders

Jenrick gets five more votes than in the first round even as Badenoch slightly closes the gap.

Trades on this market were right to have him as firm favourite!

bought Ṁ50 Robert Jenrick YES

This can resolve to Jenrick, who got the most votes (33, followed by Badenoch on 28).

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