Will there be a Democratic Supreme Court majority before the advent of AGI?
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resolved Dec 26
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Creator is inactive, and criteria are very vague for what counts as AGI. Resolving N/A.

I think for questions like this, it should be specified in terms of a pair of other questions, or at least very clearly specify both halves of the question.

If folks want to trade on this, let's get a new and better-defined question set up.

@SemioticRivalry looks excellent, thank you!

predicted NO

@SimonBazelon this should resolve NO, as GPT4 is AGI, or the market should be open again

bought Ṁ50 of YES

Why is this closing this year? We don't have AGI yet.

What are you defining as AGI?
@DAL59 Passes Turing test and is able to consistently identify objects.
bought Ṁ10 of NO

@EnopoletusHarding to easy. maybe you should anchor it to other specialized market like:
/IsaacKing/will-there-be-a-fire-alarm-for-agi