If Biden wins, will China invade Taiwan?
28
113
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2026
15%
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If Biden wins the US 2024 election, will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms? For the purpose of this market, an invasion is defined as any military offensive aimed at establishing control over any portion of Taiwan.
This market resolves N/A if Biden does not win the 2024 election or if China invades Taiwan before the 2024 election.
Trump market: https://manifold.markets/Simon74fe/if-trump-wins-will-china-invade-tai
Get Ṁ200 play money
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@JoshuaWilkes Yes, "Taiwan" is all territory currently administered by the Republic of China, including these islands
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