If Biden wins, will China invade Taiwan?
28
1kṀ2032
resolved Jul 26
Resolved
N/A

If Biden wins the US 2024 election, will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms? For the purpose of this market, an invasion is defined as any military offensive aimed at establishing control over any portion of Taiwan.

This market resolves N/A if Biden does not win the 2024 election or if China invades Taiwan before the 2024 election.

Trump market: https://manifold.markets/Simon74fe/if-trump-wins-will-china-invade-tai

2024 US Presidential Election
Joe Biden
China
Taiwan
China Taiwan potential conflict
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@mods Please resolve N/A

bought Ṁ100 NO

Does "Taiwan" in these markets include Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu, Itu Aba and Pratas? (Combinations thereof)

@JoshuaWilkes Yes, "Taiwan" is all territory currently administered by the Republic of China, including these islands

@Simon74fe I would suggest you use the verb 'administered' rather than 'claimed' here. 😃

@JoshuaWilkes Thanks, good suggestion. I edited my comment

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