If Biden wins, will China invade Taiwan? | Manifold

If Biden wins, will China invade Taiwan?

Plus

28

Ṁ2032

resolved Jul 26

Resolved

N/A

1D

1W

1M

ALL

If Biden wins the US 2024 election, will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms? For the purpose of this market, an invasion is defined as any military offensive aimed at establishing control over any portion of Taiwan.

This market resolves N/A if Biden does not win the 2024 election or if China invades Taiwan before the 2024 election.

Trump market: https://manifold.markets/Simon74fe/if-trump-wins-will-china-invade-tai

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election

#🇨🇳 China

#🇹🇼 Taiwan

#China Taiwan potential conflict

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

@mods Please resolve N/A

bought Ṁ100 NO

Does "Taiwan" in these markets include Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu, Itu Aba and Pratas? (Combinations thereof)

@JoshuaWilkes Yes, "Taiwan" is all territory currently administered by the Republic of China, including these islands

@Simon74fe I would suggest you use the verb 'administered' rather than 'claimed' here. 😃

@JoshuaWilkes Thanks, good suggestion. I edited my comment

Related questions

If Trump wins, will China invade Taiwan?

When will China invade Taiwan

Will China invade Taiwan by the end of 2024?

Will China invade any territory of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?

Will China invade Taiwan before 2030?

If China invades Taiwan, will they succeed?

Will China invade the main island of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?

If China invades Taiwan, will the United States intervene directly?

If Trump is elected in 2024, will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?

Will China invade the Kinmen Islands of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?

Related questions

If Trump wins, will China invade Taiwan?

If China invades Taiwan, will they succeed?

When will China invade Taiwan

Will China invade the main island of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?

Will China invade Taiwan by the end of 2024?

If China invades Taiwan, will the United States intervene directly?

Will China invade any territory of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?

If Trump is elected in 2024, will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?

Will China invade Taiwan before 2030?

Will China invade the Kinmen Islands of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules