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MANIFOLD
How will Trump respond if China attacks, blockades, or physically annexes Taiwan before the end of his presidency?
1
Ṁ1kṀ50
2029
14%
Trump protests China's actions verbally/diplomatically only.
14%
Trump supports China's actions verbally/diplomatically.
14%
Trump sends American forces to the region, but they do not intervene against China's actions.
14%
Trump orders American forces to intervene militarily against China.
14%
Trump orders American forces to support China militarily.
14%
China will not attack/blockade/annex Taiwan before the end of Trump's presidency.
14%
Other

I've added basic answers, but I'm open to suggestions for other answers.

If Trump's presidency ends before January 20, 2029 at 6:59 AM EDT, I will close the market.

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bought Ṁ25 YES

If China doesn't attack then I assume answers other than "China will not attack/blockade/annex Taiwan before the end of Trump's presidency." and "Other" resolve N/A.

If Trumps response includes anything other than is listed as well, for example making a public statement about it on camera, then I win 145 mana.

@AlanTennant If China doesn't attack before the end of Trump's presidency, then "China will not attack/blockade/annex Taiwan before the end of Trump's presidency," is the resolution.

If Trump makes a comment on camera, then "Trump protests China's actions verbally/diplomatically only" or "Trump supports China's actions verbally/diplomatically" is the resolution unless he doesn't support it or protest it. In that case, "Other" is the correct answer.

sold Ṁ25 YES