Will AOH1996 succeed in Phase I trial?

Will the pre-clinical results on the cancer drug AOH1996 be broadly confirmed by independent team(s)?

Will AOH1996 advance past Phase II trials by the end of 2027?

What will the phase 3 clinical trial results report for vaccine efficacy (%) of the R21 malaria vaccine at 24 months?

Will a study performed by the Dog Aging Project show a statistically significant effect of rapamycin on lifespan extension between control groups and a treatment group?

By 2030, will any treatment be shown to increase human lifespan in a randomized controlled trial?

What will the phase 3 clinical trial results report for vaccine efficacy (%) of the R21 malaria vaccine at 48 months?

Will an independent RCT study evaluating Silexan for anxiety find a standardized effect size greater than 0.5?

Conditional on such a study being run, will an independent RCT evaluating Silexan for anxiety find a standardized effect size equal to or greater than 0.3?

If the experiment in the Chinchilla paper is repeated by a credible actor before 2026, will the exponent in the data scaling term be greater than 0.32?