>100K protest in DC before 2026?
9
Ṁ250Ṁ144resolved Nov 2
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Must be at least 100K people in a single protest, reported by at least 2 credible media outlets
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ35 | |
| 2 | Ṁ11 | |
| 3 | Ṁ4 | |
| 4 | Ṁ3 | |
| 5 | Ṁ3 |
Sort by:
>200K was reported by The Guardian and The Independent, though they just repeat organizers statements. In retrospect I'm not happy with this question as it's very hard to assess actual crowd size, and organizers' inflated numbers get repeated by the media. However, I do think that a YES resolution for this question is a positive sign for US democracy: civil society is resisting
People are also trading
Related questions
Largest anti-Trump protests in 2026 exceed size of largest 2025 protests?
52% chance
Will there be a large protest across US based on a political/ economical/ social issue?
76% chance
Will there be mass protests on Oct 14, 2026 in the USA?
7% chance
We will see a 100k person anti-AI protest before 2030
72% chance
What will the dominant theme(s) of the first AI protest to involve 100k+ protestors be?
Will the next No Kings protest reach at least 12 million participants?
19% chance
If Trump wins, will multiple protestors die in Washington DC?
23% chance
Will there be a large violent dispute between protesters and ICE in 2026?
72% chance
Will 100,000 people pledge to attend Eliezer's Don't Build It march before 2027?
36% chance
Will a protest attracting 100,000 participants against AGI development occur before 2030?
20% chance