Largest anti-Trump protests in 2026 exceed size of largest 2025 protests?
7
100Ṁ164
Dec 31
38%
chance
  • Any protest against Trump or any of his policies/agencies under his control count (e.g., against ICE)

  • Only protests in the U.S. count.

  • Protest size is defined as the countrywide number of participants in one day for that protest event.

  • The estimated size of the protests will be taken from Wikipedia.

    • The largest protest in 2025 is considered to be the October 18 No Kings protest, which, according to Wikipedia, had 5-6.5 million participants according to an independent estimate and 7 million according to organizer estimates.

    • Independent estimates will be preferred over organizer estimates. For example, if there is an independent estimate listed on Wikipedia on the resolution date for the largest 2026 protest, I will compare that against the 5-6.5 million estimate of the Oct 2025 protest. If there are no independent estimates available, organizer estimates will be compared against past organizer estimates (7 million for Oct 2025).

    • If there are multiple independent estimates, I will take the average of those listed on Wikipedia.

    • If an estimate is a range, I will take the midpoint of the range and consider that to be the value of that estimate.

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