Will Ultra-Orthodox Jews be mandatorily conscripted by the IDF by the end of 2028?
10
44
Ṁ230Ṁ280
2029
42%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if at least 10% of formerly exempt Yeshiva guys are recruited to the IDF on a mandatory (i.e. not voluntary) basis in any year.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Sort by:
If "recruited" means "formally asked to join the IDF" then this question might resolve to YES: IDF begins sending draft orders to haredim as law expires - report
If "recruited" means "actually joins and serves" then we need to wait and see.
Related questions
Will Israel end the military conscription exemption for Haredi (ultra-Orthodox Jews) before the next general election?
62% chance
Will Israel institute mandatory conscription for Haredi men before 2030?
34% chance
Will Israel create any new settlements by the end of 2035?
72% chance
Will Israel bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?
59% chance
Will Israeli soldiers set foot in Iran before the end of 2025?
9% chance
Will Israel bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?
41% chance
Will Birthright to Israel be entirely free at the end of 2024?
77% chance
Will Israeli LGBT rights be discernibly eroded before 2026?
19% chance
Will Ultra-Orthodox Jews be drafted April 1st and will that bring down Netanyahu's coalition?
Will there be a mandatory military draft in the USA by the end of 2030?
10% chance