Will Ultra-Orthodox Jews be mandatorily conscripted by the IDF by the end of 2028?
23
1kṀ28522029
59%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if at least 10% of formerly exempt Yeshiva guys are recruited to the IDF on a mandatory (i.e. not voluntary) basis in any year.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will the IDF fully withdraw from Gaza by EOY 2026?
17% chance
Will Israel annex a part of the West Bank by the end of 2025?
31% chance
Will Israel have same-sex marriage by the end of 2028?
12% chance
Will Israel still have troops in the Gaza Strip at the end of 2025?
93% chance
Will the IDF fight against Abu Shabab (a Palestinian militia they supplied with weapons) by the end of 2026?
37% chance
Will Israel annex part of Palestine by the end of 2025?
35% chance
Will Israel become more authoritarian in 2025?
61% chance
Will Israel execute someone by 2030?
9% chance
Will Israeli LGBT rights be discernibly eroded before 2026?
24% chance
Will Israel exist at the end of 2026?
99% chance