Will Israel execute someone by 2030?
12
95
270
2030
11%
chance

They have executed 2 people so far: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Capital_punishment_in_Israel#Executed_people and only have capital punishment for things like genocide. It's quite possible they could capture, try, and execute Sinwar or someone like that for genocide.

Resolves positive if there is an execution on or before 1 January 2030.

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