[More bins, higher] Death Toll in 2023 Israel Hamas War - Israeli Side
#Wars#Israel#Israel-Hamas Conflict#Arab-Israeli Conflict#Death
39
622
Ṁ1.7k
2025
0.1%
<=500
0.5%
501-1000
15%
1001-2000
84%
2001+

Including both soldiers and civilians, as reported by Israeli sources. This market will resolve after the war is over and official estimates are available. Close date may be extended.

https://manifold.markets/Shump/more-bins-higher-death-toll-in-2023?r=U2h1bXA

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bought Ṁ20 of 1001-2000 YES

The even-bigger-bins market has 1-2k well over 20%. Which one is wrong!?

@Shump can you please make another question with more bins/range?

@alexlyzhov made one here:

bought Ṁ30 of 2001+ YES

So, is that only about deaths from fights against the hamas side?

@TimP No. Anything that's part of this conflict, even if it expands to include other parties

Underreporting by at least an order of magnitude

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