Death Toll in 2023 Israel Hamas war - Palestinian side
➕
Plus
50
Ṁ9084
resolved Dec 9
100%98.7%
2001+
0.0%
0-50
0.0%
51-100
0.0%
101-200
0.0%
201-500
0.9%
501-1000
0.4%
1001-2000

Including both soldiers and civilians, as reported by Israeli sources. This market will resolve after the war is over and official estimates are available. Close date may be extended.

See market below for higher bins

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Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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The war is over?

@oh no, but the maximum answer bucket was reached, so the outcome of this market has been determined.

@chrisjbillington Ohhh thanks

@chrisjbillington But what if the Messiah comes and the Revivification of the Dead happens before the war is over? [UPDATE: I no longer stand by this half-joking comment, which I’ve been told may be insensitive to people who don’t share my beliefs.]

@oh then the death toll would be 2000+, getting revivified doesn't mean you didn't die

This resolution has been overdue, but I was waiting because of the Israeli source requirements. However, by now, there were many Israeli statements that Thousands of Hamas people have been killed, I think this is true beyond a shadow of doubt.

Can be resolved? Both sides say over 2000 by now...

:(

@YotamFederman The market refers to Israeli sources. I haven't seen any Israeli source giving a death estimate so far, independently from the Palestinian estimate. Do you have a source?

@Shump You're right, I was looking at Haaretz publications but they are quoting the Palestinian Ministery of Health. I'm willing to wait until the end of the war for official Israeli estimates.

Looks like we need a new market with new options

@gigab0nus I didn't expect it to be this bad...

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