Will the US government adopt and deploy a post-quantum cryptography standard before 2030?
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The US National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) is currently assessing the feasibility of various post-quantum encryption methods. There is increasing worry that quantum computers may break encryption sooner than expected. Some believe the US and other western governments must move all mission critical systems to post-quantum encryption to avoid future attacks.
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@ShadyElDamaty you'll want to extend market closing time to 2030, it's currently set to end of 2023.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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