Will quantum computing be commonly used in commercial applications by 2030?

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Resolves Yes if quantum computers are used by at least 25% of Fortune 500 companies by 2030. The use does not have to be expensive, the companies just have to own and at least be attempting to utilize them.

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So if there's someone that sells quantum computing as a service to 25% of fortune 500 companies, this can still resolve NO if the companies don't own any additional quantum computing hardware of their own, right?

@BoltonBailey Here’s one that’s more like that: https://manifold.markets/GabeGarboden/will-aws-or-azure-offer-quantum-com?r=R2FiZUdhcmJvZGVu

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## Related questions

When will Quantum computing become viable?

2038

Will quantum computing break cybersecurity by 2030?

21% chance

Will Quantum computing break RSA encryption before 2030?

34% chance

Will there be a quantum computer with 100,000 functioning qbits before 2035?

68% chance

Will a quantum computer with at least 1500 qubits be announced before the end of 2030?

74% chance

Will a quantum computer show a clear advantage vs classical computers in solving a major cryptographic problem by 2030?

41% chance

Will IBM produce a functional 100,000 qubit quantum-centric computing system by 2033?

23% chance

Will quantum advantage be demonstrated for practical quantum chemistry problems before 2030?

25% chance

In what year will quantum advantage be demonstrated for practical quantum chemistry problems? (before 2030)

2028

Will a quantum computer perform a calculation by 2026 that is impossible for any classical supercomputer?

59% chance