Will quantum computing be commonly used in commercial applications by 2030?
Will quantum computing be commonly used in commercial applications by 2030?
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Resolves Yes if quantum computers are used by at least 25% of Fortune 500 companies by 2030. The use does not have to be expensive, the companies just have to own and at least be attempting to utilize them.
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So if there's someone that sells quantum computing as a service to 25% of fortune 500 companies, this can still resolve NO if the companies don't own any additional quantum computing hardware of their own, right?
@BoltonBailey Here’s one that’s more like that: https://manifold.markets/GabeGarboden/will-aws-or-azure-offer-quantum-com?r=R2FiZUdhcmJvZGVu
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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