Will quantum computing be commonly used in commercial applications by 2030?
39
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2030
46%
chance

Resolves Yes if quantum computers are used by at least 25% of Fortune 500 companies by 2030. The use does not have to be expensive, the companies just have to own and at least be attempting to utilize them.

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So if there's someone that sells quantum computing as a service to 25% of fortune 500 companies, this can still resolve NO if the companies don't own any additional quantum computing hardware of their own, right?

Market on the RSA-2048 benchmark for fault-tolerant quantum computing.

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