Will quantum computing be commonly used in commercial applications by 2030? | Manifold

Will quantum computing be commonly used in commercial applications by 2030?

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1kṀ11k

2030

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Resolves Yes if quantum computers are used by at least 25% of Fortune 500 companies by 2030. The use does not have to be expensive, the companies just have to own and at least be attempting to utilize them.

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So if there's someone that sells quantum computing as a service to 25% of fortune 500 companies, this can still resolve NO if the companies don't own any additional quantum computing hardware of their own, right?

@BoltonBailey Correct

@BoltonBailey Here’s one that’s more like that: https://manifold.markets/GabeGarboden/will-aws-or-azure-offer-quantum-com?r=R2FiZUdhcmJvZGVu

Market on the RSA-2048 benchmark for fault-tolerant quantum computing.

People are also trading

Will quantum computing achieve practical advantage in cryptography before 2030?

Will a commercially available quantum computer with over 1 million qubits released before 2035?

When will Quantum computing become viable?

Which major technology company will make the most significant quantum computing breakthrough by 2030?

Will a quantum computer with at least 1500 qubits be announced before the end of 2030?

Will there be a quantum computer with 100,000 functioning qbits before 2035?

Will IBM produce a functional 100,000 qubit quantum-centric computing system by 2033?

Commercial application of quantum pseudo-telepathy by 2030?

When will quantum computers become affordable?

Will the first quantum computer virus be identified by 2030?

Related questions

Will quantum computing achieve practical advantage in cryptography before 2030?

Will a commercially available quantum computer with over 1 million qubits released before 2035?

When will Quantum computing become viable?

Which major technology company will make the most significant quantum computing breakthrough by 2030?

Will a quantum computer with at least 1500 qubits be announced before the end of 2030?

Will there be a quantum computer with 100,000 functioning qbits before 2035?

Will IBM produce a functional 100,000 qubit quantum-centric computing system by 2033?

Commercial application of quantum pseudo-telepathy by 2030?

When will quantum computers become affordable?

Will the first quantum computer virus be identified by 2030?

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