11% chance. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman has repeatedly mentioned the idea of "Universal Basic Compute" or a "basic compute budget" which individuals can use, resell, or donate. For one example, see the following article: OpenAI's Sam Altman has a new idea for a universal basic income This question concerns the implementation of such a program by any national government. See my prior market concerning the US government: https://manifold.markets/IsaacLiu/will-the-us-government-implement-un Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if before January 1, 2030: A national government of a state recognized by the United Nations implements a program that provides all citizens with guaranteed access to computing resources (processing power) at no direct cost The market will resolve NO if: No such program is implemented by January 1, 2030 OR if only private actors implement such programs OR if the program requires means-testing or is not universally available to all citizens Considerations Implementation would require significant regulatory frameworks and funding mechanisms that don't currently exist Technological advancements in cloud computing and edge computing could make implementation more feasible over time Growing concerns about AI job displacement could increase pressure for digital resource access programs