Who will win San Francisco’s District 11 Supervisor election on November 5th, 2024?
5
1kṀ4986
resolved Nov 23
100%22%
Cheyanne Chen
36%
Michael Lai
27%
Ernest “EJ” Jones
12%
Adlah Chisti
1.1%
Roger K Marenco
1.1%
Jose Morales
1.1%
Oscar Flores

District 11 supervisor election for San Francisco. The election is ranked choice. An old article about the candidates is here: https://missionlocal.org/2024/07/district-11-candidates-reveal-their-boldest-piece-of-legislature-if-elected/

I will not wager in the market. Instead, I’ll only resolve the market after the results are announced.

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2024 US Election
San Francisco
San Francisco November 2024 Election
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@MikeLinksvayer resolved to Chayanne. Thanks.

Can’t unresolve the market. Any suggestions?

@SethSpiel perhaps @mods can?

@MikeLinksvayer done

Still down by 190 votes: https://x.com/Mtclai/status/1857965781981843862

This resolution is premature. Only ~60% of the vote is in and there are many more ballots to count. No news source has called this race.

@SethSpiel sadly resolution looking even more premature. Chen (even sadder: Cheyanne, not Mike 😂) is now leading.

@MikeLinksvayer If the results change by the final tally on Wednesday November 13th, I’ll change the resolution.

@MikeChenSF I'm using the SF Standard to monitor the live election count for D11.
https://sfstandard.com/2024/11/05/san-francisco-election-results-november-2024/

Using the results from here:

https://www.axios.com/local/san-francisco/2024/11/06/board-of-supervisors-elections-results-sf

You might tag this under https://manifold.markets/browse/san-francisco-november-2024-electio

San Francisco November 2024 Election
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Done. Thank you.

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