Resolves to whoever is next elected to the office, other than Nancy Pelosi, regardless if they are ever seated. Includes special elections. Expires before the next redisticting cycle; will be resolved N/A if no one wins the seat other than Pelosi by market close time.
1,000People are also trading
It seems to me saikat would be one of the best house members if elected. He actually wants to fight
My understanding is that this is an important story that could significantly hurt Saikat Chakrabarti's run for the seat.
Connie Chan should be a new option here https://www.cnn.com/2025/11/08/politics/nancy-pelosi-retirement-candidates-replace
@MikeChenSF I just added Connie Chan as an option ... anyone has permissions to add options on this market
@barak anyone does, but due to the high liquidity (which is great!) adding a new option is 10k and many users might not be willing to pay that =)
Scott Weiner has announced his campaign
https://bsky.app/profile/scottwiener.bsky.social/post/3m3s54mmgyk27
@robm good question, it looks pretty unchanged to me: https://selc.senate.ca.gov/proposed-congressional-map (new) vs https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/California%27s_11th_congressional_district#/media/File:California's_11th_congressional_district_(since_2023)_(new_version).svg (current), so Prop 50 won't affect this market.
I'll interpret "expires before the next redisticting cycle" to mean "regular redistricting cycle, ie the one starting after the 2030 census"
