Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?
71
110kṀ110k
2029
53%
Scott Wiener
22%
Saikat Chakrabarti
14%
Other
8%
Christine Pelosi

Resolves to whoever is next elected to the office, other than Nancy Pelosi, regardless if they are ever seated. Includes special elections. Expires before the next redisticting cycle; will be resolved N/A if no one wins the seat other than Pelosi by market close time.

US Politics
San Francisco
118th Congress
SF Politics
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

Sort by:

Does prop 50 redistricting affect this market at all? The 11th district is (mostly?) unchanged, so I'd think no, but want to be sure.

@robm good question, it looks pretty unchanged to me: https://selc.senate.ca.gov/proposed-congressional-map (new) vs https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/California%27s_11th_congressional_district#/media/File:California's_11th_congressional_district_(since_2023)_(new_version).svg (current), so Prop 50 won't affect this market.


I'll interpret "expires before the next redisticting cycle" to mean "regular redistricting cycle, ie the one starting after the 2030 census"

Proposed Congressional Map | Senate Elections and Constitutional Amendments Committee

Surprised Shadid Buttar isn’t an option, he’s ran for

the seat a few times and did decent

bought Ṁ1 YES

https://sfstandard.com/2024/08/30/christine-pelosi-scott-wiener-shadow-campaign/

Comment hidden

People are also trading

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy