This market resolves to the candidate who wins the 2026 election for U.S. Representative for California's 29th congressional district — the term beginning January 3, 2027.

Which round counts: the November 3, 2026 general election (plurality winner). Primaries do not count.

Answers:

• Luz Maria Rivas — ballot designation: Democratic

• Angélica María Dueñas — ballot designation: Democratic

No write-ins: California does not count write-in votes in a top-two general election for Congress, so only the two candidates above can win. Both appear on the certified list with party preference Democratic; this seat is therefore Democratic by ballot composition, but this market prices only which candidate wins.

Party: each candidate's party designation is shown for information only. This is a candidate market: a "No" on one candidate is a bet on any other winner, not on a particular party.

Withdrawal, death or replacement: the market resolves to the candidate certified as the winner. If a listed candidate is replaced on the ballot by someone not listed, the creator will N/A the market.

Results: resolves on the state's certified results. It may resolve earlier once the Associated Press has called the race and no recount, contest or runoff that could change the winner remains pending. If a recount or court-ordered correction changes the certified winner before resolution, the corrected certified result controls.

Postponement or cancellation: if the general election is postponed, the market stays open until the rescheduled election for the same term. If no election for this office and term is held, it resolves N/A.

Starting probabilities are seeds, not forecasts.