Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Who will win the 2026 election for California's 11th Congressional District
46
แน€12kแน€140k
Dec 31
72%
Scott Wiener
18%
Saikat Chakrabarti
7%
Connie Chan

Resolves based on the election outcome per major media calls or secretary of state.

Follows the district number in the event of redistricting

Market context
Politics
Elections
US Politics
California
San Francisco
Get
แน€1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

Sort by:
opened a แน€2,000 YES at 73% order

Some big limit orders up on Wiener!

20% to <2%

what news did I miss?

bought แน€250 NO

@robm Rumors Pelosi wonโ€™t seek reelection

bought แน€250 NO

Other is a dumb option on a poll where you can just add people.

@JimAusman lol, absolutely no one on this site understands how Other works

@JimAusman If you buy shares in "Other", then you get shares in any new answer listed in the future (In a dependent market like this). It explains this if you hover over the โ“˜ next to "Other".

@DanielTilkin thanks for the explanation!

filled a แน€1,000 YES at 26% order

Scott Weiner announced he is running

https://bsky.app/profile/scottwiener.bsky.social/post/3m3s54mmgyk27

bought แน€5 YES

More people should bet on this, it seems important!

People are also trading