
Will a Grok AI get >90% on ARC in 2024?
11
210Ṁ711resolved Feb 21
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ29 | |
2 | Ṁ23 | |
3 | Ṁ6 | |
4 | Ṁ5 | |
5 | Ṁ4 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will any AI model score above 95% on GRAB by the end of 2025?
40% chance
Will AI pass the Winograd schema challenge by the end of 2025?
86% chance
ARC-AGI-2 Top Score >=50% in 2025?
35% chance
Will the ARC Prize Foundation succeed at making a new benchmark that is easy for humans but still hard for the best AIs?
88% chance
Will any AI model score >80% on Epoch's Frontier Math Benchmark in 2025?
15% chance
In what year will AI achieve a score of 95% or higher on the GPQA benchmark?
2/25/27
Will AI pass the Rube Goldberg Turing test by the end of 2028?
38% chance
AI solves the Abstraction and Reasoning Corpus (ARC) by 2028
25% chance
Will AI pass the Winograd schema challenge by the end of 2030?
94% chance
Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2028?
63% chance